And then there were two.
Jasmine Paolini and Barbora Krejcikova go head-to-head at 2pm on Saturday to decide who will become the eighth different ladies’ singles champion in the last eight editions of The Championships.
With both appearing in their first Wimbledon singles final, mental strength under the Centre Court glare will be key as well as the ability to think clearly – and make the right decisions – under extreme pressure.
But what does the data from the two finalists’ journeys through the draw tell us, and does it provide any clues as to who will leave SW19 as champion?
If you study the data gathered during their six victories apiece so far this Fortnight, both players have an obvious strength that stands out.
Krejcikova has a ‘conversion’ success rate of 74 per cent – seven per cent higher than the average across the ladies’ draw.
The Czech’s conversion score tells us how effective the 28-year-old has been when she has been in attack during a rally and she’s often done this with some big hits off her forehand wing.
The right-hander’s most effective play is her crosscourt forehand, with an average speed of 78mph (5mph higher than the draw average) and she’s very accurate with this shot too, landing 40 per cent of those hits to within one metre of the sideline.
Paolini’s defence has been very impressive so far – helped by her footwork, athleticism and speed around the court.
The Italian brings a ‘steal’ score of 40 per cent into the final, a number that represents how successful she has been when defending during rallies. That too is seven per cent higher than the ‘draw average’.
Paolini will know all about Krejcikova’s strengths of course, and will be ready to defend from her forehand corner. The good news for the Italian is that she has been doing this well during The Championships whether going back cross-court or changing direction up the line.
Paolini has been striking her crosscourt forehands at 71mph (7mph higher than the draw average) and her forehand line is finding the target 81 per cent of the time, nine per cent more often than the rest of the ladies’ draw.
Saturday’s final then may well turn into a battle of the forehands, since Paolini’s is one of the best in the business too.
The 28-year-old from Tuscany had the second-highest forehand shot quality of all eight of the ladies’ quarter-finalists, with a score of 8.5 out of 10. A shot quality reading is calculated in real-time by analysing the speed, spin, depth and width of every strike.
Studying Paolini’s court position during rallies shows she likes to use her forehand whenever she can to attack, often camping in the backhand half of her court (to the left of the centre mark on the baseline).
The Italian has been hitting 61 per cent of her groundstrokes with a forehand (compared with 56 per cent of the rest of the ladies’ draw), and with good pace too at an average of 71mph.
That speed increases when she hits her forehands from the backhand court, a whopping 82mph when she goes ‘inside-in’ and 79mph with the ‘inside-out’, both of those numbers well above average among the ladies’ draw.